From NYPOST by Bob Fredericks --
Donald Trump may be behind in most polls but one veteran New York prognosticator still predicts he will win come Election Day.
“I think he was the strongest candidate in the primaries and that he
will prevail,” Helmut Norpoth, a political-science professor at SUNY
Stony Brook, told The Post on Monday, even as the RealClearPolitics
average shows the Republican candidate trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton
by 6.1 percentage points.
Norpoth developed a model that, applied retroactively in earlier races, would have correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912 — with the exception of 2000, when predicted winner Al Gore barely lost to George W. Bush.