If you listened to the mainstream media, you might be tempted to believe that Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton
leads Republican rival Donald Trump in the polls by double digits.
However, it’s no secret that polls can be manipulated to a yield certain
A group of statisticians and actuaries compiled data from previous
polls to show how just how unreliable polls can be. They took data from a
recent Fox poll from Oct. 14 that showed Clinton ahead of Trump by
seven points and a WSJ/NBC poll from Oct. 16 that showed Clinton with an
The statisticians first noted that both of these polls were “heavily
skewed” toward Democrats. The Fox sample group consisted of 43 percent
Democrats to 36 Republicans to 21 “other,” and the NBC poll showed 44
percent Democrats to 37 Republicans to 19 “other.”
Simply put, by selecting more Democrats to participate in the polls, they are tailored to favor a Democrat result.
When the actuaries calculated results using the same data from the
same surveys with an even split of 40 Democrats, 40 Republicans and 20
“other,” they got a different result, which put Trump in the lead.