Friday, October 21, 2016

SUNY Prof With Reliable Election Model Predicts 87% Chance of Trump Win


At Legal Insurrection by Aleister   --

Helmut Norpoth, a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island, has developed a model for predicting elections which, when applied, has correctly predicted every presidential election back to 1912 with one exception – the 1960 election.

He has been predicting a Trump win for months and he’s standing by his forecast.

Syracuse.com reports:

SUNY professor says Trump win at least 87 percent certain; other polls ‘bunk’

A SUNY professor continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year’s election and he’s critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece.


Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent…

That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton, notes the Daily Mail.

Norpoth wrote in The Hill that although the race looks decided, current polling methods are “bunk.”

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