Friday, November 4, 2016
Hillary is Facing Serious Indictments, Have We the People had Enough?
At Conservative Read by Chris --
Michael Barone --
In my Nov. 1 column, I looked at the presidential election through the lens of the old children’s radio show “Let’s Pretend” — examining how things would look if it turned out that Donald Trump ends up winning.
That would have required lots of pretending until recently. Two weeks ago, Hillary Clinton led Trump by 6 percent in the RealClearPolitics average of recent polls. That lead is now 1.9 percent. RCP state polling averages then had Clinton ahead by 128 electoral votes. Now the estimated count is 273 to 265.
These numbers may overstate the closeness of the race. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, which weighs poll results by various factors, gives Trump a 31 percent chance of winning. Other polling websites peg his chances as significantly less.
But obviously, something has changed. FBI Director James Comey’s announcement Oct. 28 that the investigation into Clinton’s non-secure emails as secretary of state was resuming undoubtedly contributed to it.