Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Prediction time: Will it be Gorsuch or Hardiman?

At Hot Air by Allahpundit

T-minus 24 hours and counting. According to multiple sources, we are indeed down to a choice of two.

As I write this at 6 p.m. ET, PredictIt has Hardiman as a 49/42 favorite, down from 53 percent a bit earlier. I think that’s underselling him. All the tea leaves lately have been pointing his way: Trump’s sister likes him, he’s salable as a blue-collar Pennsylvanian, and Trump himself has reportedly been heard talking up his confirmability. The odds feel more like 65/35 at this point. Which is a minor bummer, as Gorsuch would be a stellar pick.

But wait. There’s last-minute movement on Trump’s right flank against Hardiman:

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